Thanks 5..I heard the same thing 2 weeks ago from a china man dealer from Chicago..told me they still had a surplus but not a great ,great amount of surplus..depending how the first batch of surplus sells will dictate how high this year will go...of course as you know you can hear anything..but I've been talking market with this guy for over 10 years now..he has been more right than wrong in the last 10 year,,just like last year when it opened at 250 to 300.he told me he thought it would go over 700 because there not much on hand and with the dry conditions of last fall it would jump in price...and it did...good luck to you my friend.